(jp) = The author discusses two potential upsets in the NCAA Tournament, focusing on the UConn vs. Iona and Saint Mary’s vs. VCU games. Despite the popularity of supporting underdogs, the author argues that betting on favorites may be more valuable due to the shift in betting lines towards underdogs over the past decade. The author cites UConn’s offensive rebounding strength and Iona’s weakness in defensive rebounding as a reason to bet on UConn, as well as the distractions that may arise from coach Rick Pitino’s reported move to St. John’s. In the Saint Mary’s vs. VCU game, the author cites Saint Mary’s strong defensive rebounding and turnover-avoidance abilities as strengths to bet on.
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